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Can We Predict the Outcome of the International Football Tournaments? : the Case of Euro 2000 = Uluslararası Futbol Turnavalarının Sonuçları Tahmin Edilebir mi? Euro 2000 Örneği

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Author(s): Ferda HALICIOĞLU

Journal: Dogus University Journal
ISSN 1302-6739

Volume: 6;
Issue: 1;
Start page: 112;
Date: 2005;
Original page

Keywords: Football | Ranking | UEFA | Sports forecasts | Futbol | Sıralama | UEFA | Spor öngörüleri

ABSTRACT
This paper statistically analyses and attempts to predict the most likely winners of the Euro 2000 football tournament on the basis of the seasonal coefficients of variation (CVs) of the end-of-season points, which were computed from the top division final standings of participating countries of Euro 2000.The CV values computed from over ten seasons for the respective countries were used as a sole measurement value to rank the countries and to determine the most likely winners of Euro 2000.According to the three scenarios (long-term, mid-term, and short-term) based on the respective CV values of fifteen countries, France appeared to be the most likely country to win Euro 2000 and was closely followed by Spain.

Tango Jona
Tangokurs Rapperswil-Jona

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