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Döviz Kuru Belirsizliğinin İhracata Etkisi : Türkiye Örneği = The Impact of Exchange Rate Uncertainty on Exports : the Case of Turkey

Author(s): Orhan KARACA | Cem SAATCİOĞLU

Journal: Dogus University Journal
ISSN 1302-6739

Volume: 5;
Issue: 2;
Start page: 183;
Date: 2004;
Original page

Keywords: Döviz kuru belirsizliği | İhracat | Eşbütünleşim testi | Hata düzeltme modeli | Exchange rate uncertainty | Exports | Cointegration test | Error correction model

In this paper we examined the relationship between exchange rate uncertainty and exports in Turkey. Sample period of the study is 1981, May 1, the date Turkey introduced flexible exchange rate system after quiting fixed exchange rate system, and 2001, February 22 when exchange rates were left floating. The results of this study, in which quarterly data are used, indicate that exchange rate uncertainty affects exports negatively in Turkey. This finding is valid both for long-run and short-run.

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