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PROGNOSTICATION OF PRODUCTION OF GOODS ON THE BASIS OF FUZZY

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Author(s): Olesya TOTSKA | Alexandru NEDELEA

Journal: Annals of the Stefan cel Mare University of Suceava : Fascicle of the Faculty of Economics and Public Administration
ISSN 2066-575X

Volume: 9;
Issue: 1(9);
Start page: 11;
Date: 2009;
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Keywords: fuzzy intervals | food retail industry | production of goods | optimistic estimation | pessimistic

ABSTRACT
In the article the authors forecast the issue of commodities by the enterprises of food retail industry of theVolyn region of Ukraine by the use of the fuzzy sets theory. The algorithm of such foresight consists in passing of thefollowing stages: construction of dynamic rows of issue of ten basic food stuffs in the last few years; equipping themafter growth; construction fuzzy interval for every commodity; determination optimistic estimation for every index. Onthe basis of obtained information the ge neral issue of food products is calculated also in next years. Determination ofoptimistic estimation is conducted after the original method developed by an author. Basic its idea consists in that aninterval which answers the “golden” mean of dynamic row is most credible.
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