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Sea-level Rise Forecast Model

Author(s): Lihong Li | Lihui Zhou | Hongjun Lian

Journal: Journal of Computers
ISSN 1796-203X

Volume: 6;
Issue: 10;
Start page: 2120;
Date: 2011;
Original page

Keywords: mean sea level | Non-linear regression | Bruun Rule

The paper analyzes the melting pace of ice cap in the North Pole and its influence on the rising sea level.The paper constructs the linear and non-linear models between rising sea level and the year by quoting data from Florida Tide Gage Station. The paper also contrasts the two models and selects the non-linear model. By adopting the model, the paper predicts the height of rising sea level every ten years in the next fifty years. On this basis, in accordance with Bruun Rules, this paper estimates the area of land being swallowed up in Florida State in the next 50 years in the following table. It is of great significant for State of Florida in the future economic and social development to take defensive measures.
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