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A Simple Flood Forecasting Scheme Using Wireless Sensor Networks

Author(s): Victor Seal | Arnab Raha | Shovan Maity | Souvik Kr Mitra | Mrinal Kanti Naskar | Amitava Mukherjee

Journal: International Journal of Ad Hoc, Sensor & Ubiquitous Computing
ISSN 0976-2205

Volume: 3;
Issue: 1;
Start page: 45;
Date: 2012;
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Keywords: Flood forecasting | robust regression | WSN | polynomial fitting | multi-square weight minimization | event | query

This paper presents a forecasting model designed using WSNs( Wireless Sensor Networks) to predict flood in rivers using simple and fast calculations to provide real-time results and save the lives of people who may be affected by the flood. Our prediction model uses multiple variable robust linear regression which is easy to understand and simple and cost effective in implementation, is speed efficient, but has low resource utilization and yet provides real time predictions with reliable accuracy, thus having features which are desirable in any real world algorithm. Our prediction model is independent of the number of parameters, i.e. any number of parameters may be added or removed based on the on-site requirements. When the water level rises, we represent it using a polynomial whose nature is used to determine if the water level may exceed the flood line in the near future. We compare our work with a contemporary algorithm to demonstrate our improvements over it. Then we present our simulation results for the predicted water level compared to the actual water level.
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