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New approach to the decision analysis in conditions of uncertainty – Info-Gap Theory

Author(s): Andrzej Piegat | Karina Tomaszewska

Journal: Journal of Theoretical and Applied Computer Science
ISSN 2299-2634

Volume: 6;
Issue: 1;
Start page: 67;
Date: 2012;
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Keywords: decision theory | uncertainty | decision analysis | info-gap theory

The paper presents a new method of decision-making in conditions of severe uncertainty in application to a problem. The method has not been introduced in Poland yet and is still in the early development stage in Europe. Because the method is difficult to understand it was illustrated by the example of its application to evaluation of the project duration time. The paper also presents a proposal of decoupling a hypothesis relating to an outcome from the outcome itself in form of the incompatibility function of the hypothesis.
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