Author(s): NICOLAE MARIUS JULA | NICOLETA JULA
Journal: Challenges of the Knowledge Society
ISSN 2068-7796
Volume: 3;
Issue: -;
Start page: 875;
Date: 2013;
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Keywords: Economic forecasting | econometric analysis | data testing | econometric software | Benford's law
ABSTRACT
Economic forecasting is a dynamic domain. New methods are developed and tested and the methodology needs to be updated according to economic reality. Classical approach in methodology must be completed with latest trends in econometric analysis and the forecasting methods have to benefit from the increasing computational power of the modern software. One of the main causes of false prediction is using altered data. In this paper, we will present the new concepts for data testing, adjusted for the Romanian economy, based on Benford's law.
Journal: Challenges of the Knowledge Society
ISSN 2068-7796
Volume: 3;
Issue: -;
Start page: 875;
Date: 2013;
VIEW PDF


Keywords: Economic forecasting | econometric analysis | data testing | econometric software | Benford's law
ABSTRACT
Economic forecasting is a dynamic domain. New methods are developed and tested and the methodology needs to be updated according to economic reality. Classical approach in methodology must be completed with latest trends in econometric analysis and the forecasting methods have to benefit from the increasing computational power of the modern software. One of the main causes of false prediction is using altered data. In this paper, we will present the new concepts for data testing, adjusted for the Romanian economy, based on Benford's law.